Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.064736 0.069523 0.074509 0.080097 0.086189 0.092640 0.099995
2025-12-07 0.054176 0.060972 0.068455 0.077334 0.087618 0.099196 0.113278
2025-12-14 0.046231 0.053958 0.062845 0.073880 0.087301 0.103196 0.123605
2025-12-21 0.041335 0.049713 0.059703 0.072594 0.088937 0.109163 0.136401
2025-12-28 0.038546 0.047592 0.058727 0.073595 0.093164 0.118374 0.153855
2026-01-04 0.036122 0.045625 0.057650 0.074196 0.096711 0.126782 0.170843
2026-01-11 0.033610 0.043290 0.055834 0.073553 0.098382 0.132621 0.184639
2026-01-18 0.031594 0.041423 0.054440 0.073276 0.100398 0.138938 0.199533
2026-01-25 0.029500 0.039285 0.052494 0.072020 0.100826 0.142880 0.211094
2026-02-01 0.027401 0.036992 0.050161 0.069998 0.099907 0.144646 0.219305
2026-02-08 0.025616 0.035025 0.048149 0.068274 0.099241 0.146648 0.227937
2026-02-15 0.024099 0.033346 0.046438 0.066852 0.098884 0.149020 0.237279
2026-02-22 0.023232 0.032584 0.046049 0.067452 0.101798 0.156952 0.257071
2026-03-01 0.021776 0.030884 0.044179 0.065651 0.100756 0.158355 0.265664
2026-03-08 0.020214 0.028946 0.041847 0.062973 0.098083 0.156794 0.268733
2026-03-15 0.019195 0.027775 0.040618 0.061972 0.098104 0.159804 0.280509
2026-03-22 0.018696 0.027369 0.040544 0.062826 0.101301 0.168591 0.304173
2026-03-29 0.018153 0.026864 0.040279 0.063333 0.103914 0.176519 0.327016
2026-04-05 0.017422 0.026026 0.039436 0.062805 0.104640 0.181009 0.343359
2026-04-12 0.016804 0.025338 0.038796 0.062576 0.105874 0.186523 0.362420
2026-04-19 0.016063 0.024417 0.037728 0.061536 0.105530 0.188954 0.375103
2026-04-26 0.015244 0.023336 0.036344 0.059858 0.103879 0.188674 0.381743
2026-05-03 0.014523 0.022385 0.035135 0.058426 0.102592 0.189006 0.389779